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The Atlantis said :
^

No wonder you're coming from OSRS, you don't have any of the facts straight whatsoever.

You mention that Agility and Thieving are not afk-able, you're wrong lol, also "the rest" is not afk-able, I'd say a lot of it is semi-afk for mains, but harder for alts.

You are wrong once again, Wreaths are very rare but less "pleasing" in the design, however Golden Partyhats look nice and is pretty popular, it explains why they are so expensive, even after thousands of them entering game.

I think it's clear to what the future looks like for Golden Partyhats, an obvious rise after the event ends, and I predict that they will reach max-cash before 2022 ends because of the hoarding and demand.

You don't seem to know a lot about the Rares-market, The Mystic, and that's okay, not everyone can be good at it Look, kid. I'm sorry you paid max cash for Gold when it came out. You may have to wait many years for any profit but keep hoarding, you may get lucky

PS: I meant Agil, and Thief are not afk for new accounts, but I'm pretty sure you knew that.

29-Nov-2021 21:06:12 - Last edited on 29-Nov-2021 21:09:25 by The Mystic

The Atlantis said :
If you want to go through all the struggle for 12m/hr atm then go ahead lol
Don't think anyone will attempt to "farm" it when it's so cheap
Me and my friends are earning about 1 Phat a day each on alts. It's very simple and afk. Aslong as the price stays up, we are making 30m+ per hr. I don't see the prices staying at 450m for long though

29-Nov-2021 21:56:03

Zurthux said :
Here are my thoughts.... id like to hear yours

The only rare item that we have an official total for is the Christmas scythe and it was limited to 5000. less now of course. They are going for a little over 3b right now.

I don't have even the slightest clue as to how many golden party hats will enter the game but its going to be a lot more than 5000. its very safe to say over 25k and probably still safe to say over 50k tbh. but lets go with a conservative 25k. that's already 5 times the stock of the Christmas scythe.

Something that needs to be considered is the fact that ALL golden party hats will be owned by ACTIVE accounts. Where as hundreds if not thousands of Christmas scythes will probably never be seen again because they are on inactive accounts/banned accounts. My guess is way less than 1k scythes are actively traded.

There will be too much active supply, in my option, to ever break the 1B [long term (1 year)]
1B x 25k hats = 25 trillion market cap is there going to be that much gold chasing these hats?
impossible? no. highly improbably yes.

Short term on the other hand? I think

the price will try to be run up by some very rich people in an effort to corner the market.

---> IE

first couple of days of party hats entering the market. Then they will crash when people realize the supply is just too large.

If there is one thing rich people, in real life and in the game, are more afraid of than losing money its missing out on an opportunity to make a fortune. So its worth it for them to try to buy up all the stock weather or not it works out. Looks like that bubble might pop soon.

29-Nov-2021 23:42:16 - Last edited on 30-Nov-2021 00:42:34 by Magic D A D

29-Nov-2021 23:50:54

30-Nov-2021 00:18:37

30-Nov-2021 00:41:08