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Golden Partyhat Discussion
Quick find code: 17-18-363-66235442
Here are my thoughts.... id like to hear yours
The only rare item that we have an official total for is the Christmas scythe and it was limited to 5000. less now of course. They are going for a little over 3b right now.
I don't have even the slightest clue as to how many golden party hats will enter the game but its going to be a lot more than 5000. its very safe to say over 25k and probably still safe to say over 50k tbh. but lets go with a conservative 25k. that's already 5 times the stock of the Christmas scythe.
Something that needs to be considered is the fact that ALL golden party hats will be owned by ACTIVE accounts. Where as hundreds if not thousands of Christmas scythes will probably never be seen again because they are on inactive accounts/banned accounts. My guess is way less than 1k scythes are actively traded.
There will be too much active supply, in my option, to ever break the 1B [long term (1 year)]
1B x 25k hats = 25 trillion market cap is there going to be that much gold chasing these hats?
impossible? no. highly improbably yes.
Short term on the other hand? I think the price will try to be run up by some very rich people in an effort to corner the market. ---> IE first couple of days of party hats entering the market. Then they will crash when people realize the supply is just too large.
If there is one thing rich people, in real life and in the game, are more afraid of than losing money its missing out on an opportunity to make a fortune. So its worth it for them to try to buy up all the stock weather or not it works out.
Ill just be happy with the one that I earn myself
The only rare item that we have an official total for is the Christmas scythe and it was limited to 5000. less now of course. They are going for a little over 3b right now.
I don't have even the slightest clue as to how many golden party hats will enter the game but its going to be a lot more than 5000. its very safe to say over 25k and probably still safe to say over 50k tbh. but lets go with a conservative 25k. that's already 5 times the stock of the Christmas scythe.
Something that needs to be considered is the fact that ALL golden party hats will be owned by ACTIVE accounts. Where as hundreds if not thousands of Christmas scythes will probably never be seen again because they are on inactive accounts/banned accounts. My guess is way less than 1k scythes are actively traded.
There will be too much active supply, in my option, to ever break the 1B [long term (1 year)]
1B x 25k hats = 25 trillion market cap is there going to be that much gold chasing these hats?
impossible? no. highly improbably yes.
Short term on the other hand? I think the price will try to be run up by some very rich people in an effort to corner the market. ---> IE first couple of days of party hats entering the market. Then they will crash when people realize the supply is just too large.
If there is one thing rich people, in real life and in the game, are more afraid of than losing money its missing out on an opportunity to make a fortune. So its worth it for them to try to buy up all the stock weather or not it works out.
Ill just be happy with the one that I earn myself
16-Nov-2021 09:19:22
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