forums.rs

Forums

Golden Partyhat Discussion

Quick find code: 17-18-363-66235442

of 122
RSGOTMEFATT

RSGOTMEFATT

Posts: 302 Silver Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Some really want this thing to crash hard lmao, the amount of posts/typing going into this thread tells me many merchers have their eye on this one.

Buy as it goes lower or buy later if you think it will keep dropping, but don't sell/don't panic.

it's not rocket science that overtime discontinued/limited items rise, panic selling because you might lose 200m-300m while missing out on gains of billions overtime might not be the best move, But do as you will im just an alt account trying to help :P
Grand Exchange: Finished buying 1 x Christmas cracker

03-Dec-2021 18:53:23 - Last edited on 03-Dec-2021 18:54:18 by RSGOTMEFATT

Lelouch Vi B
Jan Member 2017

Lelouch Vi B

Posts: 2,111 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
RSGOTMEFATT said :
Some really want this thing to crash hard lmao, the amount of posts/typing going into this thread tells me many merchers have their eye on this one.

Buy as it goes lower or buy later if you think it will keep dropping, but don't sell/don't panic.

it's not rocket science that overtime discontinued/limited items rise, panic selling because you might lose 200m-300m while missing out on gains of billions overtime might not be the best move, But do as you will im just an alt account trying to help :P


Hmmm. An alt that has literally only ever posted on item price discussion threads. Can't see how that could be shifty.

I'm sure plenty of people will be glad to take your advice. And if they do, that's on them. Now with added
[SARCASM]
Warnings for those less astute!

Archaeology Elite Skill Suggestion

03-Dec-2021 19:01:38

Destruction

Destruction

Posts: 63,021 Emerald Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Lelouch Vi B said :
Destruction said :

You are not dumb, you're pretty much stating the facts even though 100M mark will never be possible for them. Just to create alt and buy shard you need around 75M so noone will spend 16-20h for 25M profit. Might drop but won't be even close to that. I don't see it falling below 300M or so.


I agree. The 100m claim was hyperbole to match the people claiming this would be the next Black Santa (both are equally ridiculous.)

I actually believe it'll stabilize around the 200m mark, somewhere near the Christmas Tree Hat.

Of course it's ridiculous. BSH will be x10 rarer, most likely even more.
Partyhats are arguably the most iconic items and a ''stronger'' name, demand is still huge so we'll see what will happen.
I do believe they will reach a decent price but it will struggle a lot due to how common it will be.
However, I wouldn't worry too much about dropping, they are real partyhats afterall.
The action or process of causing so much damage to something that it no longer exists or cannot be repaired.

03-Dec-2021 19:06:13

The Atlantis
Nov Member 2023

The Atlantis

Posts: 508 Steel Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Lelouch Vi B said :
The Atlantis said :
@LELOUCH V1 B




The only reason the Ghat is at 500m now is because Jagex started the price at 1b. Too many people think that an item's starting price means something. Fish masks started at 500k. The vast majority of hats HAVE NOT entered the game. Most players don't play that much. I've spoken with my clan; I'm the only one in my clan who's made theirs yet. That's at least 180 more hats waiting to be made. Jagex said that a few thousand hats entered the game; there are hundreds of thousands of active players in a given day (not all at once obviously). Maybe 1 [/quote]

Funny how you're wrong again.

The GE start price Jagex sets has NOTHING to do with anything. Armadyl Fractured Staff pieces are set to like 2m each. The staff goes for like 5.8b. Do you hear yourself? lmao

The demand of an item sets the price.

The Majority of hats HAVE entered the game. Every active players has made it by now, it's been two weeks, on average it takes 20-30 hours to make a hat. Not 336+ as you seem to claim.

Literally everyone I know on RS has made a hat by now... most actually finished it on day 2 lol, idk which clan you're in, maybe one that plays RS 1 hour daily on avrg?

I have witnessed the release of every rare item so far, I know where this will go. I am not here talking non-sense. It's very obvious that this item is special and iconic, you can't deny that, no matter how hard you want to.

At first you wanted to compare it to Fish Masks, now you want to compare it to Xmas Tree Hats? because you got called out on how foolish you sounded? Lol just take the L and move on.

It's funny how you admit that you sold your hat, and now you're waiting on it to "crash" so you can re-buy it. You're a fool, honestly.

You're talking about how your speculations have always been "right" in the past, PLEASE share with us, when were you right? because every-

03-Dec-2021 20:21:09

Lelouch Vi B
Jan Member 2017

Lelouch Vi B

Posts: 2,111 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
The Atlantis said :


Funny how you're wrong again.

The GE start price Jagex sets has NOTHING to do with anything. Armadyl Fractured Staff pieces are set to like 2m each. The staff goes for like 5.8b. Do you hear yourself? lmao

The demand of an item sets the price.


Yes... and when an item is the best weapon in the game, it has high demand.
When an item does literally nothing but claim to be rare, it can only see value from its rarity. And naïve players see an item they can make and how the ge value starts at 1b and think "my god I'm gonna be rich! Because too many players think that the original price of these items is some sort of statement about how rare they'll be.

Seriously, the first ghats were sold for like 1.2b. Now they're at 450m. You're telling me this is a strong trajectory for the value? The item has been available for 2 weeks and has 4 more weeks to go before they're actually discontinued. They've lost over half their value in 2 weeks yet people like you still think they're gonna be the next black santa.

I made billions on the black santas. I made billions on lesser known items like the original summer prize tokens. I made bank speculating on different items like the fremmy rings.


And yeah, I did say I sold mine. I sold it at 700m. So what? Your argument is that I'm mad I sold it at 700m because now it's... 450m...? I'm mad that I sold at a good time..? That's your logic? "Ohh no I profited 250m! Whatever will I do? Guess I'll just hop on my alt and afk another one during the better half of an afternoon..."

you're clearly a smurf alt trying to flip these things for a profit. You don't see many 1100 total accounts buying dyes and hero items... People are gonna realize these aren't worth what you want for them. Now with added
[SARCASM]
Warnings for those less astute!

Archaeology Elite Skill Suggestion

03-Dec-2021 21:06:13 - Last edited on 03-Dec-2021 21:38:39 by Lelouch Vi B

Lelouch Vi B
Jan Member 2017

Lelouch Vi B

Posts: 2,111 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
The Atlantis said :
-single unique rare has risen A LOT since it was released.

All the graphs show an upwards arrow, every unique rare has just risen and skyrocket, and that's exactly what WILL happen to the unique golden partyhat


Yes.... After between half a decade and a decade of dropping to well below the starting value. In almost every single case. The only outliers are the black santa, which was accelerated by jagex stating it was rarer than a regular santa, and the Holly Wreath which, again, players knew the rarity immediately because it was confirmed that only 1k would be released.

Every other single case of a modern rare has seen it drop from its launch value and hover at well under it for months to years before going up. what pattern are you seeing that makes buying them now a good idea? Because I can tell you this much, Jagex has already confirmed thousands exist, so it is at least 2-3x more common than the wreath and will only get more common.

Why would anyone in their right mind buy these at 500m when in a month to a year they'll be 200?



You say I'm a fool for making a comparison between Fish Masks and the Ghat, meanwhile you support the comparison between the Black Santa and the Ghat.

Fish mask is currently 13m
Black Santa is currently 24b
Ghat is currently 450m (and dropping)

The value difference between the Ghat and the mask is 437m.
The value difference bwteen the Ghat and the santa is 23.35b.

Who's comparison is more ridiculous? Now with added
[SARCASM]
Warnings for those less astute!

Archaeology Elite Skill Suggestion

03-Dec-2021 21:20:12 - Last edited on 03-Dec-2021 21:59:43 by Lelouch Vi B

Lelouch Vi B
Jan Member 2017

Lelouch Vi B

Posts: 2,111 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
G Mask Owner said :
There's no rules against making multiple accounts and farming these correct?

No rule whatsoever. I've already made 4.

Jagex used to have rules about using multiple accounts, but they never made a rule against having multiple accounts. The only rules that ever existed were over how much those accounts could interact. As far as I'm aware, those rules are all but gone now. Your alts can trade between each other now.


Direct quote from the Runescape Rules page:

You are free to create as many accounts as you like, and you are welcome to trade between your accounts just as you would with any other player - you can log into two accounts at the same time to do this if you wish. Trading wealth or items between your own accounts is done entirely at your own risk. We advise that you use the trade system we supply to trade between your own accounts. Unusual trade methods like dropping, death or trust trades are particularly risky and we strongly advise against them.



The only instances where multi-accounting is against the rules is using it to circumvent game mechanics, like running 10 accounts at once to host your own castle wars games privately. Now with added
[SARCASM]
Warnings for those less astute!

Archaeology Elite Skill Suggestion

03-Dec-2021 21:44:08 - Last edited on 03-Dec-2021 21:50:46 by Lelouch Vi B

Quick find code: 17-18-363-66235442 Back to Top