Damn this dude really like stroking himself, not that there's anything wrong with that ofc. Delusions of grandeur aside. It's just really odd that a guy who consistently has the need to self inflate and talk about non-sequiturs like 'skill in collecting' 'years of collecting' 'no dye flips' 'running simulations' 'what I did with infinity boots' is really contributing to the actual discussion on probabilities of 2a. Look inward my friend, do you really think you're not biased into thinking yourself a bit more than you really are?
There are far too many statistical and logical fallacies in your
opinion
on the numbers. #1 of those being sampling bias. Whereas Zee uses real data and numbers.
Anyone who thinks 'running a simulation for days' (something someone who knows nothing about stats or computers would say to sound like a techwhiz to 8 year old in a bad 80's movie) to produce a result is qualified or credible when it comes to real statistics.
Oi, I'm special too. Even if second age is as rare as claimed, in ten years many more pieces will enter the game. And there are a great many alternatives. However, I like some of the items. Good to keepsake, not good to hoard.
Third age might actually be rarer than the numbers suggest, because it gets dissed for components.
I cannot for the life of me manage to catch Covid. Perhaps it's because I didn't get vaxxed? The travails of those lacking immunity.
the data is quite convincing
If you are willing to chuck your most precious possessions like phats because someone said words like crashing/dying/quitting and then find yourself unable to rebuy for what you sold for, then you don't deserve to own a phat.
I've hidden some off-topic comments above, let's please keep this thread on track going forward, and be civil to other players. Thank you!
Community Manager for Jagex