There is no rare ceiling. All rares will continue to rise in value over time indefinitely.
Rares always drop temporarily in value whenever a historical change to the game occurs. Duplication glitches, combat rework, grand exchange release, trade limit installation/removal, even the release of a new type of content has caused rares to crash.
But every time they crash, hoarders collect them at a faster rate, and they recover several times over.
This pattern will continue, indefinitely. When blue partyhat is 30 trillion, red santa might be 2.5 trillion, for example.
As the more common rares deplete from the market, I predict their value will approach something similar to higher rares.
There will be a day when one red santa hat can be traded for one christmas cracker. This will happen when neither have been seen for at least one or two years.
Turnover of the player base is an important factor for the continued increase in the price of rares. Every time a significant portion of the player base quits, especially the elites, rares drop in price temporarily, then recover many times over. But the replacement of these players is absolutely imperative for this trend to continue.
In the final years of runescape classic, all rare prices stagnated. I forget exactly what their amounts were, but if a pink partyhat was 170mil in 2006, it was 170m in 2012, because there was no replacement among the player base, even though "inflation" did occur (the majority of rs classic players were botting, and had loads of cash and items from years of this).
Partyhats and other discontinued items will continue to rise in price, and will only truly crash when the day comes that RuneScape's servers close. On that day, there will be drop parties all day long.
There's nothing more to say here.
19-Apr-2022 00:21:01
- Last edited on
19-Apr-2022 00:31:54
by
Misclick