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Won't happen if Jagex can decide voluntarily. There's a reason why they haven't revealed any of the drop rates in TH: having access to that kind of information allows the players to make more educated decisions, like calculating the average # of keys to win a specific prize. Of course it's not perfect since RNG is involved, but it's a lot better than having no numbers at all.

There's also the "get more keys now and your prize could be <displays 3 super rares>" marketing, which would be a lot less successful if it showed the true drop rates, e.g. 0.00001% chance to win 200m (probably higher than that but you should get the point).

Whether or not it'd be guaranteed changes nothing: if you can get a partyhat with real money, you can buy one with real money. It's simply predatory if it's random.

It doesn't matter how rare you make them: a rerelease would cause dramatic price drops. Once something loses its discontinuity status, the historical value goes *poof*.

To add to the above (ran out of space): different colors would be fine (genuinely different colors that is, not deceptive attempts to use a slightly different hex color code for example), but not through Treasure Hunter. TH is a predatory gambling machine that is going to face regulations in the future eventually, so both for future proofing and for the better of consumers, something like Solomon's store would be a much better option to put them to. In-game achievements even better.

EDIT:

@Jokku, when you have time and we're both online, could you PM me regarding this thread please? I have something that I'd prefer to handle privately.

(Disclaimer: My post is more of a reply to what's written in your post rather than you personally.)

That last sentence really hits it home: when it comes to gambling like Treasure Hunter, unless you know the drop rates as well as that their integrity is intact (as in, that they haven't been tampered with, such as by them being overseen by regulations), Jagex could easily get away with manipulating the odds without the players' knowledge. Meanwhile, on a service like Solomon's store, you don't have that problem, because there's no randomness involved; you get what you want with guarantee, which is a lot more consumer-friendly than gambling (which is corporate-friendly and anti-consumer).

Now, some people might be gullible enough to just look at the game's developers and think "hey, they've made a pretty good base of a game, so there's no way they'd deceive us like that", but that's no guarantee of anything: even if the developers were good guys all around, they're not the ones who currently run RS3, they're just the "factory floor" workers now. The marketing team is what runs RS3 on a higher management level, and those folks don't care one bit about you as a person, only how to get as much money from you as possible (hence why MTX like TH exists). They don't have morals when it comes to selling RS3 to you, only the law is what stops them from doing even shadier practices than they already do.

continued in the next post