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Morvran's Prefer/Block

Quick find code: 259-260-897-65487603

AoDude

AoDude

Posts: 1,694 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Joffrey said :
Actually, idk i'm still stuck on this..

Since the drop has to happen exactly on the 10th kill. So i would have to roll that item on every 10th kill..


If you are wanting to roll that item every 10th kill you would: 1/5120^N<- number of times in a row.

2 times in a row is very unlikely, 3 times is even more so, 4 times and I would bow down and pray to you as the true RNGeesus...
AO
Deputy-Owner :
The Nexus CC

16-Aug-2015 22:47:46

Lifer
Jul Member 2008

Lifer

Posts: 12,424 Opal Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Joffrey said :
Actually, idk i'm still stuck on this..

Since the drop has to happen exactly on the 10th kill. So i would have to roll that item on every 10th kill..


You can try this instead of trying to figure out the probability:

Say static gloves - 5m gp per

we'll take an average of gp/kill across 10 kills:

kill 1: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 2: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 3: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 4: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 5: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 6: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 7: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 8: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 9: 1/512 - 9765.625 gp
kill 10: 1/512 - 19531.25 gp (since this is doubled)

The average of the above gp/kill is: 10742.1875 gp

An average automation task size is 90, so it is 966,796.875 gp per task on average

______________

Alternatively, this also works out as the same gp per task:

The above total gp every 10 kills is 107,421.875 gp

Since average task size again is 90, so that's 9 sets of 10 kills:

9 * 107,421.875 = 966,796.875 gp/task

16-Aug-2015 23:14:47

Lifer
Jul Member 2008

Lifer

Posts: 12,424 Opal Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
All the monsters listed and all those not mentioned (cancel them) all work together as the most time efficient, not counting the fact slayer mask daily tasks are more efficient.

16-Aug-2015 23:34:50 - Last edited on 16-Aug-2015 23:37:16 by Lifer

AoDude

AoDude

Posts: 1,694 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Lifer said :
snip


Like I originally said, it is still 1/512 on any kill.
So what you have posted is correct.


It is only when you are wanting to know the chance that it also is exactly on 1 specific kill out of 10 (in this case the last, but it is the same chance regardless of the position in the 10 kills).
AO
Deputy-Owner :
The Nexus CC

16-Aug-2015 23:36:27 - Last edited on 16-Aug-2015 23:37:46 by AoDude

Llumys
Jul Member 2021

Llumys

Posts: 2,119 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Recorded 147 regular and 2 elite Edimmu in 35:15 with melee. ~254 kills per hour.

I botched the elite kills a bit, and I'm pretty sure I could improve the kill rate to at least 270.

I think I'll keep trying to improve the rate before I upload anything, unless Potato on Rs would settle for a sloppy recording.

17-Aug-2015 12:53:03 - Last edited on 17-Aug-2015 12:57:15 by Llumys

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