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Epidemics, Pandemics, Outbreak

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Joel
Feb
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2005

Joel

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NexOrigin said :
LOL. "don't you dare use your evidence to prove your point! How dare you? How dare!”
If the ‘evidence’ wasn’t actually misrepresented in order to make a point, sure. But you claimed something, provided an article to back up what you claimed which actually backed up nothing lol. You used that link to somehow prove people were being snatched from their homes because “they’re coming for you” when all it proved was, a gathering which was against government guidelines was broken up and those found to be at the address were fined.

I get it, you like to make remarks whether they're correct, incorrect, misrepresented, use unnecessarily harsh language to misrepresent for effect, and so on but the moment that's called out and brought into question, you're quick to pivot onto the next thing to try and move quickly as to muddy the waters much like what you've done with the inaccurate or exaggerated remarks made the last couple of days with regards to the new hotel quarantine rules, isolation facilities and now this bogus narrative about "they're coming for you", to the point even others in this thread have started switching off to things you say - I guess my level of patience is perhaps a disadvantage sometimes but nonetheless, such remarks need to be called out.
Joel

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23-Feb-2021 21:34:04

Joel
Feb
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2005

Joel

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NexOrigin said :
Joel said :
a tactic to drop high rates of ICU admissions,
I'm no mathemagician here... but... 283 ICU admissions... 384 hospitals in Ontario... that's less than one ICU patient per hospital. Is the possibility of having an addition ICU patient considered "a high rate"?


You talk about me "fear mongering" but... you're here fear mongering about "high rates of ICU admissions" when in reality, the ICU admission rate is relatively minimal, and results in an average of less than 1 ICU patient per hospital.


https://covid-19.ontario.ca/data/hospitalizations


https://www.statista.com/statistics/440923/total-number-of-hospital-establishments-in-canada-by-province/
We've come out of a provincial lockdown and re-entered the regional framework to start re-opening on a per region basis, why? Because the rates I mentioned have started to drop.

If they were still high and at close to capacity then surely we'd be continuing lockdown measures, not starting to relax them.

https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/toronto-s-icus-will-reach-capacity-by-late-january-as-pandemic-continues-to-worsen-top-doctor-says-1.5271345


An article from back in January when we were actually still in a provincial lockdown, giving you more context of ICU capacity at that time.

So is your above post another example of you intentionally trying to mislead and misrepresent or do you really think its accurate to compare current levels (which would be lower than say last month when we were in lockdown) to now (when we're coming out of it)?

And does every hospital in Ontario have ICUs? If so, do they have the same capacity? I doubt it.
Joel

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23-Feb-2021 21:41:51

Joel
Feb
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Joel

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And in the interest of being clear and not misleading (because that's important); it's worth noting that the province is testing less people, so that's obviously a concern with regards to case numbers on a daily basis (excluding what the hospitalizations and ICU numbers are)
Joel

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23-Feb-2021 21:45:06

NexOrigin

NexOrigin

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Joel said :
Because the rates I mentioned have started to drop..
Why are they dropping? Is it because they're only testing 1/3 of the people they were previously? Is it because of the data migration?

Knowing why the numbers have changed is more important than just knowing the numbers have changed.


Joel said :
You used that link to somehow prove people were being snatched from their homes because “they’re coming for you” when all it proved was, a gathering which was against government guidelines was broken up and those found to be at the address were fined.
Your claim was:
Joel said :
Nobody is snatching people from homes to do this against their will.
Now, I addressed that point. I agreed that they weren't snatching people up from their homes to bring them to quarantine facilities:
NexOrigin said :
Joel said :
Nobody is snatching people from homes to do this against their will.
No, of course not, because you're allowed to quarantine inside your home, legally. But, they will come to your house, and issue you fines for thousands of dollars for not going to the quarantine hotel.
Then you circled BACK to this again:

Joel said :
As it stands, there's no evidence to suggest anybody is going to get snatched from their homes, or that the powers that be are 'coming for you' anymore than they would in normal times, should someone choose to break the law.
So I explicitly cited an example of the police visiting a person's home to issue fines and make arrests.

And now you're claiming that I'M misrepresenting the situation.

You keep circling back to the same statement, and then claim:
Joel said :
And at this point, round and round we go...
As though I'M the one circling back. LOL
I'm better than you, but that doesn't mean you're not great! :)

23-Feb-2021 22:03:06

NexOrigin

NexOrigin

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Trying to discuss this with you is useless, Joel.

You don't listen to what I'm saying, you keep circling back to the same point that I've already addressed, and then you're alleging that I'm doing things that you're specifically doing yourself.

You're quick to claim I'm speculating (because you don't bother to ask for citations), but, have no issues making your own speculations.

And then when you realize that I'm not going to agree with your point, you try and imply that you will moderate my speech as some sort of an attempt to force your opinion on me.


LOL.



I'm better than you, but that doesn't mean you're not great! :)

23-Feb-2021 22:10:44

NexOrigin

NexOrigin

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Joel said :
https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/toronto-s-icus-will-reach-capacity-by-late-january-as-pandemic-continues-to-worsen-top-doctor-says-1.5271345


Why Ontario hospitals are full to bursting, despite few COVID-19 patients
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-hospital-occupancy-covid-19-hallway-healthcare-1.5784075



Joel said :
An article from back in January when we were actually still in a provincial lockdown, giving you more context of ICU capacity at that time.
An article from back in November before the winter "spike" in cases, showing that covid ICU cases had no real bearing on the capacity of the hospitals.


This idea of "oh, we have to lock down because the number of ICU cases is high" isn't accurate. It's minimal. The hospitals aren't overflowing with covid patients. They never really have been. They're just full because that's how Canada's socialized healthcare works. It's free, but everyone is using it, so it's slow, and it's always at a high capacity.
I'm better than you, but that doesn't mean you're not great! :)

23-Feb-2021 22:18:22

NexOrigin

NexOrigin

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Who else is excited for the new covid bracelets?

Ontario premier defends spending $2.5 million on bracelets that beep if users get too close
https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-premier-defends-spending-2-5-million-on-bracelets-that-beep-if-users-get-too-close-1.5319436



Joel said :
And does every hospital in Ontario have ICUs? If so, do they have the same capacity? I doubt it.

Original message details are unavailable.
Hospitals across the province have taken steps to make more beds available for COVID-19 patients in every region of the province. As a result, Ontario has a total of 20,354 acute care beds with a potential for an additional 4,205 more acute care beds by April 30, 2020. Of Ontario's 3,504 critical care beds, 2,811 are now equipped with ventilators, up from 1,319 when the outbreak first started.
https://news.ontario.ca/en/release/56688/ontario-significantly-expands-hospital-capacity-to-prepare-for-any-covid-19-outbreak-scenario


The capacity is there. It always has been. And the capacity can be increased quite easily if need be. This isn't rocket science. You don't need to lockdown businesses and people to ensure that the ICU admissions aren't overwhelming. You just need to throw some money at the issue. You add more beds by buying more beds. You add more ventilators by buying more ventilators. You just buy the equipment and hire the people you need. This is common sense.

Instead, they're locking down the population and throwing millions of dollars at beepy bracelets. How many ICU beds could those millions of dollars have provided instead of wasting it on R&D for beepy bracelets?
I'm better than you, but that doesn't mean you're not great! :)

23-Feb-2021 22:34:34 - Last edited on 24-Feb-2021 00:30:18 by NexOrigin

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24-Feb-2021 00:54:48

Joel
Feb
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2005

Joel

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NexOrigin said :
Why are they dropping? Is it because they're only testing 1/3 of the people they were previously? Is it because of the data migration?

Knowing why the numbers have changed is more important than just knowing the numbers have changed.
I agree, it’s important to know where the numbers are coming from, I made that much clear in my post immediately above yours. But while testing might be down (for new active cases), which could be part of why daily case numbers are coming down, it’s worth mentioning that the death rate, ICU capacity & hospitalizations are also down (which would be separate to the lower testing rate).

NexOrigin said :
So I explicitly cited an example of the police visiting a person's home to issue fines and make arrests.

And now you're claiming that I'M misrepresenting the situation.
Do we need to go over this again? You made claims that “they’re coming for you” and essentially you’re going to get taken from your home if you’re not careful - yeah, if you break the law and the current health orders set out, you’ll be penalized. If you’re following the orders as everyone should be, there’s nothing to worry about is there? That isn’t some new thing.
Joel

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24-Feb-2021 01:43:25

Joel
Feb
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2005

Joel

Forum Moderator Posts: 32,973 Sapphire Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
NexOrigin said :
Trying to discuss this with you is useless, Joel.

You don't listen to what I'm saying, you keep circling back to the same point that I've already addressed, and then you're alleging that I'm doing things that you're specifically doing yourself.

You're quick to claim I'm speculating (because you don't bother to ask for citations), but, have no issues making your own speculations.

And then when you realize that I'm not going to agree with your point, you try and imply that you will moderate my speech as some sort of an attempt to force your opinion on me.
I am listening to exactly what you’re saying.

Disagreements are absolutely fine, we’ve had plenty and that’s no problem. One recent disagreement we’ve had is the curfew in Quebec and honestly, I kinda sit on the fence with it but regardless, it’s fine to agree to disagree on things and I don’t demand that you agree with me or anyone else for that matter. When have I ever said you must agree with me? You’ve not been moderated for an opinion either.

What you have been asked, is not to misrepresent & mislead in an attempt to stoke fear by exaggerating situations, using harsher than necessary language to make situations seem more sinister than what they are and so on.

If you want to disagree with the hotel quarantining and the federal isolation facilities/locations that’s fine, but you can do that without doing the above. So lets not try to to make out you’re somehow being ‘moderated’ for not agreeing with a particular view because once again, that’s a misrepresentation of what’s going on here and by my count not a single post has been hidden or censored in what we’ve been discussing.
Joel

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24-Feb-2021 01:44:35

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