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zombie walk data thread

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4p
Dec Member 2007

4p

Posts: 967 Gold Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Profz said :
You can probably calculate the chance of getting zombie from the purple by looking at all the purple rewards but cba.
You can also get the walk from the 12 key bonus and there's a chance of multiple walks from 1 key. I'd say it's more like 1/300 which seems to be in line with the posts here.


The 12 key bonus is the guaranteed purple I'm referring to. Maybe I was unclear in my previous post so I'll try explain again.

Zombie walk override token chance is 0.08% chance when opening a normal casket:


That's a 1/1250 base chance of receiving the token.

We also know that every 12 keys you get a guaranteed purple - which is either: 800 H'oddments, some Treasure Hunter Keys, or Zombie walk override token

If you use 1250 keys, you will hit the '12 key bonus' 105 times - including the 2nd key you use when you first opened Treasure Hunter at the start of the promotion. This increases the chance of a token, but it's impossible to say how much by because once you hit the '12 key bonus' - we don't know what chance there is of receiving a token from that reward table.

If the chance from the '12 key bonus' is 1/105 then that keeps the base chance of 1/1250, but my maths isn't good enough to work out the base chance if the '12 key bonus' is anything other than 1/105

That being said, if there have been 1m - 5m TH keys consumed this weekend, that's a base chance of 800 - 4000 tokens introduced. It's also impossible to say how many of those tokens have been used to unlock the walk, but we know people are unlocking it so it'll always be lower than the amount introduced (less than 800 remaining if 1m keys consumed, and less than 4000 remaining if 5m keys consumed for example)

31-Oct-2021 21:30:57

Zorb49
Oct Member 2010

Zorb49

Posts: 9,769 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
I figured we would see a spike in price. They have already went from approximately 130m to 300m before the TH promo is even over. They were stable at approximately 130m and that is cheap in my opinion. I am sure many people were willing to pay that price to consume the token/unlock the walk. I believe a decent amount of these new tokens were consumed. People are going to just hoard them again until before next years Halloween TH promo. It wont take much to dry up the additional supply of these new tokens.
~Efficiency Experts member

~5.8b XP

01-Nov-2021 02:27:09

Slimjim
Jun Member 2021

Slimjim

Posts: 192 Iron Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Honestly, i was in w2 earlier today. i seen people selling for crazy prices, key word here is selling, one guy wanting 3.5b, another wanting 2b then their was one honest guy id believe trying to sell it for 230m. i got my token in ge for 500m, if it sells for that in the neat future cool, if not then ill just hold onto it.

01-Nov-2021 23:01:15

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