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zombie walk data thread

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31-Oct-2021 11:30:52

S 1 M O N
Sep Member 2016

S 1 M O N

Posts: 1,491 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
[#E15EK0Y7I] said :
I'll give you guys some cringe.
I've spend some sponduli for keys. I've used 1025 keys and I've only found 1 zombie walk token. After 12 keys you can select a reward. I'ts either "first 4 chests orange rarity" or "800 h'oddments" yes? instead of the 800 h'oddments the zombie walk token showed up.

My conclusion. It's not worth it to buy keys for this promo. If the token shows up for you, consider yourself lucky. But it's still rare. They'll have to re-release it more often if they want to keep these prices low.

it's been my pleasure. In return i'd like to know what the street price is of the plague doctor walk override token.

Thank you!

I'd be interested to hear how many other people had the same - I did. I had the option to take it on the first attempt, but nothing in the 150 keys after.

Just as an edit as i asked my clan and the 10 people on, 4 of them did get it on the first chance... So maybe not as uncommon as people think.

31-Oct-2021 11:44:18 - Last edited on 31-Oct-2021 11:45:14 by S 1 M O N

Trip180

Trip180

Posts: 16,702 Opal Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile


Bought 2 bonds for 39m each, didn't even use but 1 or 2 keys from second bond. I cannot for the life of me manage to catch Covid. Perhaps it's because I didn't get vaxxed? The travails of those lacking immunity. :(

31-Oct-2021 12:05:16

Sea King
Oct Member 2019

Sea King

Posts: 7,492 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
It's impossible to really tell its rarity from these posts because we get mostly two types of people: the really lucky ones who get it on like a first few tries and the really unlucky ones who didn't. Tough to figure anything out based on a non-random selection of a dozen or so player experiences. If you are willing to chuck your most precious possessions like phats because someone said words like crashing/dying/quitting and then find yourself unable to rebuy for what you sold for, then you don't deserve to own a phat.

31-Oct-2021 15:58:39

Sea King
Oct Member 2019

Sea King

Posts: 7,492 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
I only bought some because I figured there was more long-run upside potential with a few billion in zombie walk tokens than 2nd age armor or red santa hat. If you are willing to chuck your most precious possessions like phats because someone said words like crashing/dying/quitting and then find yourself unable to rebuy for what you sold for, then you don't deserve to own a phat.

31-Oct-2021 15:59:47

S 1 M O N
Sep Member 2016

S 1 M O N

Posts: 1,491 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Sea King said :
It's impossible to really tell its rarity from these posts because we get mostly two types of people: the really lucky ones who get it on like a first few tries and the really unlucky ones who didn't. Tough to figure anything out based on a non-random selection of a dozen or so player experiences.

You also have known hoaders/manips trying to keep prices up.

Another clannie for 3 from 450 keys.

31-Oct-2021 16:00:17

4p
Dec Member 2007

4p

Posts: 967 Gold Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
The base chance is 0.08%, which is 1/1250.

If you bought 1250 keys just to hit the 'drop rate' - you would also have 105 guaranteed purples (including the second key you use in this event which unlocks a purple).

The chance of receiving a Zombie Walk Token from that guaranteed purple isn't known but it would sound fairly reasonable to be around 1/1000 and makes it a little easier to predict how many tokens could have entered the game this weekend.

There's no way of knowing how many keys were used this weekend, but if it was 1m -5m keys in total, we're looking at 1k - 5k tokens released this weekend. Most of which have been consumed already.

31-Oct-2021 18:11:10

Profz

Profz

Posts: 138 Iron Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
4p said :
The base chance is 0.08%, which is 1/1250.

If you bought 1250 keys just to hit the 'drop rate' - you would also have 105 guaranteed purples (including the second key you use in this event which unlocks a purple).

The chance of receiving a Zombie Walk Token from that guaranteed purple isn't known but it would sound fairly reasonable to be around 1/1000 and makes it a little easier to predict how many tokens could have entered the game this weekend.

There's no way of knowing how many keys were used this weekend, but if it was 1m -5m keys in total, we're looking at 1k - 5k tokens released this weekend. Most of which have been consumed already.

You can probably calculate the chance of getting zombie from the purple by looking at all the purple rewards but cba.
You can also get the walk from the 12 key bonus and there's a chance of multiple walks from 1 key. I'd say it's more like 1/300 which seems to be in line with the posts here.

31-Oct-2021 20:41:22 - Last edited on 31-Oct-2021 20:43:05 by Profz

Trip180

Trip180

Posts: 16,702 Opal Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Sea King said :
It's impossible to really tell its rarity from these posts because we get mostly two types of people: the really lucky ones who get it on like a first few tries and the really unlucky ones who didn't. Tough to figure anything out based on a non-random selection of a dozen or so player experiences. I got extremely lucky. I bought 12 zombies from the ge.

I dunno the true rarity; I just wanted to brag. I spent another bond, won nothing more. I most wanted the special oddments. I just like having everything. I cannot for the life of me manage to catch Covid. Perhaps it's because I didn't get vaxxed? The travails of those lacking immunity. :(

31-Oct-2021 21:04:18

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