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Green Santa Hat discussion

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The Atlantis
Nov Member 2023

The Atlantis

Posts: 508 Steel Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
@IMCANDA2021

There is no way that there is 10-15k active Red Santa Hats, this is what players assumed 5+ years ago,

We all saw how easy it was to push Red Santa Hat from 650m to over max cash back in like 2020, it just means there's few active, and not as many as 10-15k

For Green Santa Hat's I'd probably say that there's lotsss of them active, probably around the 10k range

You forgot to mention that players got like 7-8 free keys, and this guaranteed a purple, which could be Green Santa Hat

ALSO, you forgot to mention that it's obtainable from ANY present, just rarer than from Golden, and I've seen a lot receive one by now

29-Dec-2021 09:36:17

The Atlantis
Nov Member 2023

The Atlantis

Posts: 508 Steel Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Xsoulshadow said :
Carp Fishin said :
I totally disagree with the above post (xsoulshadows). If Jagex wanted to maximise profit on this promotion they would would have said this rare item will never return and it's a one off.


I didn't assume their intentions were to maximize profit. My assumption is they want to throw players a curve ball, so that people don't immediately hoard the santa hat. Jagex hasnt created a rare similar to phats and previous santas in a long time, and if they announced it was a 1 time item, I doubt players who got it would be so inclined to sell or merch it. Original Santa as well as H'weens and phats were pretty worthless on their release. At the time, no one really expected them to be worth what they are worth now. And that's what's different this time around. Players are fully expecting a price jump. Or they would be, if not for the re-release of zombie walk and the price dip that's created doubt. I believe that's intentional. Until Jagex officially confirms a re-release and a date for it, I remain skeptic.


Jagex already confirmed it will return someday and it's not discontinued, so you go ahead, and invest your bank in it, but just remember, next time it's released, the price will drop by 70%+

So you enjoy the risk, and loss! :)

29-Dec-2021 09:39:05

SirJosh
Nov Member 2023

SirJosh

Posts: 275 Silver Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
No body besides Jagex knows the future of the GSH..

However, here are the 3 scenarios:

1. Hold for 9 months, sell before Xmas 2022 make some money.
2. Hold onto them into Xmas 2022 and they get re-released, lose bank.
3. Hold onto them into Xmas 2022 and no re-release, make bank.

Happy gambling…

29-Dec-2021 14:48:47

imcanda2021

imcanda2021

Posts: 3 Bronze Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
I agree that there are not 15k active red santa hats, but total santa hats should be definately around that figure after all the dupes ect. I remember chessy having 1k at some point, so 15k isn't an unreasonable estimate. Regardless, there will be less green santas than red santas by the end of this event.

I do agree that players get a chance at a purple gem and an extra 8 keys, but this is negligible. Assuming a 60,000 active player base, and a 1/20 chance to get the green Santa with a purple gem (I have personally pulled over 30 purples and no GSH. Many people in my guild can confirm. In my guild of 400 people, only 4 people pulled a GSH), that is still only 3k extra green santas. The 8 extra keys x 60000 alts x 1/20000 is a mere 24 GSH. If you multiply this by 4 to account for multiple GSH pulls, this is still only 100 at most.

In all, there could exist only 4k~7k green santas by the end of this event, and this is already a generous estimate.

29-Dec-2021 17:18:52

Lumbys Hero
Nov Member 2014

Lumbys Hero

Posts: 2,005 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Has anyone received a GS from handing in paper to Pete or have they only been distributed though TH?

I'm curious on this one. All I have seen on social media is pictures & vids of 5x TH wins.

Best,

Lumbys Hero
RS
CLASSIC
VET
|
THREE
Round
COMBAT
|
STAKING
In
L.U.M.B.Y
|
TANK
Mages
DRANNER WALL

29-Dec-2021 19:35:42 - Last edited on 29-Dec-2021 19:57:47 by Lumbys Hero

RiDaku
Oct Member 2012

RiDaku

Posts: 6,003 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Lumbys Hero said :
Has anyone received a GS from handing in paper to Pete or have they only been distributed though TH?

I'm curious on this one. All I have seen on social media is pictures & vids of 5x TH wins.

Best,

Lumbys Hero


I've won two green santas, and both have been through the wrapping paper promotion. So I can confirm they do come from gold presents too, and they aren't a myth propagated by jagex!
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29-Dec-2021 20:02:28

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