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1 week at the beach

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Trip180

Trip180

Posts: 16,702 Opal Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
RSGOTMEFATT said :
@panicsell, I know merchers that bought walks for a few 100m before they went over max cash, sellers thought they were dumb paying 100s of mills for an animation. An item can spike and never return to it's original price. my point is you can't predict these things you are at the mercy of jagex when trading in tokens. both sellers and buyers think they are right but it's jagex who decides, then afterwards one side feels smarter lmao.
I know a guy who returned to rs with just a white phat. He staked it. Won, had 2 white phats. (Meaning another lost an entire phat.) Then, he bought walks when they crashed in 2020.

Today, he has a phat set. Almost no effort, pure luck haha.
I cannot for the life of me manage to catch Covid. Perhaps it's because I didn't get vaxxed? The travails of those lacking immunity. :(

13-Aug-2021 23:33:00

ELITE STACK
Mar Member 2014

ELITE STACK

Posts: 8,082 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Fun stat here:


Assuming 5000 accounts excluding irons obtain 10 average of ea token per week for 4 weeks, this would = 200k of ea token in game. This is excluding unlocks. I no lifed the beach first week tho i doubt everyone no lifes like that for 4 weeks straight.

assuming 5k players obtain 83 tokens per week for 4 weeks the total number of tokens for all 10 tokens would be 1660k total tokens or 166k of ea token in game. 5k is a high number for non iron accounts so don't take this as 100% accurate.
I need my blue charms back.

22-Aug-2021 00:08:06

ELITE STACK
Mar Member 2014

ELITE STACK

Posts: 8,082 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Assuming there is 200k of each token given the data, Cheaper tokens like necklaces and sandals have around a 10b market cap right now if you buy at 50k each. other tokens like menaphos parasols= 30b assuming 150k each. Beach towel outfit= 80b assuming 400k each

Sun hats = 20b assuming 100k each

menaphos beachwear= 40b assuming 200k each

Stephanie token= 200b assuming 1m each


Beach towel menaphos parasol and menaphos beachwear seem to be the most popular.
I need my blue charms back.

11-Sep-2021 00:43:17 - Last edited on 11-Sep-2021 00:57:08 by ELITE STACK

JungleCakes
Dec Member 2023

JungleCakes

Posts: 12 Bronze Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Hmm.. I didn't get numbers like this at all. On one alt i didn't even get a Steph pet. And on the others it was at a much lesser rate. And you know how the trade in oddments store have them marked at separate prices for each year? Steph would cost the most next year. Why do they do that if the drop rate is equal? Why do you think they would put in that effort but not any effort setting separate drop rates? lol Its not equal drop rates. Not even close for me. You also don't consider anyone who stops playing with tokens or just destroyed them when they got them. No offense but i think these numbers are hyperinflated.
I made a post saying i was buying Steph pets when i already had some i bought what i said i would too after. But then i sold some when they obviously hit a short term cap. Later i started msging sellers about bulk. Altogether i got it wrote down here there was waaay less than that in circulation. I "considered" buying them for 1.5 for incentive to get the info that i got. Not paying higher than 1m even rn. I never bought from them. Rarity order doesn't matter to me as much because i got them all for the year.. Im just saying there IS a rarity order. Look at rune coin cost.

11-Sep-2021 01:40:46

ELITE STACK
Mar Member 2014

ELITE STACK

Posts: 8,082 Rune Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
JungleCakes said :
Hmm.. I didn't get numbers like this at all. On one alt i didn't even get a Steph pet. And on the others it was at a much lesser rate. And you know how the trade in oddments store have them marked at separate prices for each year? Steph would cost the most next year. Why do they do that if the drop rate is equal? Why do you think they would put in that effort but not any effort setting separate drop rates? lol Its not equal drop rates. Not even close for me. You also don't consider anyone who stops playing with tokens or just destroyed them when they got them. No offense but i think these numbers are hyperinflated.
I made a post saying i was buying Steph pets when i already had some i bought what i said i would too after. But then i sold some when they obviously hit a short term cap. Later i started msging sellers about bulk. Altogether i got it wrote down here there was waaay less than that in circulation. I "considered" buying them for 1.5 for incentive to get the info that i got. Not paying higher than 1m even rn. I never bought from them. Rarity order doesn't matter to me as much because i got them all for the year.. Im just saying there IS a rarity order. Look at rune coin cost.



Yea that is a good point there can easily be alot less then 200k of ea token. I played alot for 1 week on my alt at the beach you are right not everyone is going to spend 10 hours a day assuming 5k players get 30 tokens a week it would be 75k. I guess that would be more accurate. :) To me all the tokens seem like the same rarity it just the fact theres 10 separate to roll on. I didn't include people who destroyed and unlocked the tokens to estimate how many were obtained. But yea there could easily be under 100k of ea token. In ur opinion how many do you think are currently in the game?
I need my blue charms back.

11-Sep-2021 01:51:30 - Last edited on 11-Sep-2021 02:00:08 by ELITE STACK

JungleCakes
Dec Member 2023

JungleCakes

Posts: 12 Bronze Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
The numbers i was given are not the number i think is in game. Im pretty sure my number is inflated too for safe measure. But as far as big time collectors there are only 2 or 3 that i suspect might also have a stack of size (Thousands) that hasn't been confirmed but they probably had alt armies buy them. And then there is also you. Lets just say all 4 do in fact have idk...5k tokens each. So my inflated number +20k tokens. Im still at least tens of thousands under 200k. And i need to stress that I'm really inflating the Steph pet here to get close. Taking into account the people that would have them but would never say a word so i couldn't know.. Its more than possible. I had to inflate it too. Just not that much. I asked a few people who they bought and sold to and how much bc i wanted to "offer a better deal" and all that. I still don't think i have the right number either. Who really knows?

I wanted to start a collection of them btw, ended up just getting some of all of them from the year. That's why i was so interested. I'm no longer trying to build on that position or buying a lot in bulk. Like i said ill pay under 1m, but no longer as interested all like that.

I do not play nearly enough to merch these like the top elites anyways. Id be going strong and then one day just not care for it. If i buy them there is no sell price in my head. No goal No Pump. No dump. It was a collector type of thing.

11-Sep-2021 02:39:48

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