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ancient emblem

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Akkar
Oct Member 2023

Akkar

Posts: 20 Bronze Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Jagex please look over you item drop rates. I have done 100+ kills today at nex, and i havent got my emblem. even tho i have my tainted repriser in my inventory. 5h grind with no results makes me think its almost impossible to get


thanks for nothing!!!!

18-Nov-2022 21:05:03

333333333

333333333

Posts: 36,620 Sapphire Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
You know a dice has 6 sides and you may still not get that number you want after 100+ rolls lol!
The chance is still there per roll / kill! It's based on luck and rng!

18-Nov-2022 21:30:26 - Last edited on 18-Nov-2022 21:30:55 by 333333333

Vengeance of
Mar Member 2018

Vengeance of

Posts: 2,372 Mithril Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
333333333 said :
You know a dice has 6 sides and you may still not get that number you want after 100+ rolls lol!


Yep. As someone (I don't remember who) once said here, "chance has no memory". Your odds don't get better every time you roll.

And to be honest, not getting an Emblem after 100+ kills, while unfortunate, is well within the laws of probability. I was never good (read: terrible) at calculating probability in school, but if I did it right, I think the odds of not getting a 1/50 drop after 100 rolls is about 13%? That's about a 1/9 chance of happening. Unlucky, but definitely not unrealistic.

19-Nov-2022 06:14:35 - Last edited on 19-Nov-2022 06:15:53 by Vengeance of

Jeremy Cheng
Aug Member 2013

Jeremy Cheng

Posts: 25,639 Sapphire Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Took me 250 darts at nex to get my first ancient emblem

It really needs a threshold, important gear like this shouldn't be locked behind bad dry streaks especially now with all the bosses where a defender is very useful if not required

19-Nov-2022 07:26:17

Archaeox
Dec Member 2011

Archaeox

Posts: 53,399 Emerald Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Vengeance of said :
333333333 said :
You know a dice has 6 sides and you may still not get that number you want after 100+ rolls lol!


Yep. As someone (I don't remember who) once said here, "chance has no memory". Your odds don't get better every time you roll.

That was me ;) And I just came here to say it again lol.

Every time OP makes a kill, they have a 1/50 chance of getting the drop. That doesn't change, no matter how many kills they have made previously.
~~~~ Just another victim of the ambient morality ~~~~

~~ Founder of the Caped Carousers quest cape clan ~~

!! Slava Ukraini - heroyam slava !!

19-Nov-2022 11:01:44

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