forums.rs

Forums

~SOF/TH Item Status V14~

Quick find code: 17-18-79-66176978

of 201
Taste Bud

Taste Bud

Posts: 5 Bronze Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
RARE T0KEN said :
Any thoughts on the Earhart pet? its 30m+ atm.

I think the change of rarity lost a lot of investors' trust and that's the only reason they are so low.
They were only very briefly under 20m due to this and low buy limit. I'm not sure why some with alt armies think hundreds of <20m tokens during a window of time when everyone else was on limit means anything. Sell me hundreds at that price plz. There are plenty tokens that are much more common that have approached much higher prices.
It is still pretty difficult to get these tokens in under 100 keys. One example of getting one in 1/2 bonds is not an efficient sample size. Even at 50m, they are under production cost, and if they hit this price it would still not be worth buying keys to pray you get a token in under 2 bonds. It takes more like 5-10 bonds.
Tbh I'm sure the investors who know a little math and basic economics know this and are buying more despite what they say on forums. They are using the fear of the buff to ward off novice investors that listen to forum users, (for whatever reason), so they can stock up on their limited buy offers despite their alt armies.
You have been warned!

04-Oct-2020 20:58:27

RARE T0KEN

RARE T0KEN

Posts: 70 Iron Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
I appreciate all the opinions about the Earhart pet, I like to get different perspectives since each of us thinks differently and not just base things of my own calculations. time will tell where they end up, I am invested in them but not heavily as I always manage my risk especially with tokens, Thank you for your observations. The superior man thinks of virtue; the small man thinks of comfort.

05-Oct-2020 00:44:13

ButterflyNet

ButterflyNet

Posts: 1 Bronze Posts by user Forum Profile RuneMetrics Profile
Were told they reduced it from purple to red rarity for the Earhart pet. Given the probability of a red reward is 6.23% and the fact that you need 10 ice cubes then its about 0.623% rate of getting the Earhart pet token. 1 pet/ 0.623%= 1/0.00623= 160.5 keys approximately, give or take on your luck. Using bonds would take around 10-11 bonds to get a pet which would cost you about 260-300m to obtain the pet. You'll get some BXP out of it, but I don't think the little bit of XP you'll gain is worth spending 200m+ just for the pet. There are better prices on keys if you buy them with real money, but even if you buy 75 keys get 75 free promo for 22$ to get a pet only worth 30m thats not really worth it IMO because you could buy 3 bonds for 21$ and get 75-80m for it instead, but no BXP. There are also daily keys which wont really effect the price drastically so I didn't include them in the calculation to get one.

I think had this promo started out with it being red rarity that it is now, I bet this pet would be worth 75-200m. Seeing that players used hundreds or thousands of keys in the first few days, there is just an abundance right now which collectors I'm sure are picking up. I'm also not sure if the ice cubes can be received from a regular chest with a multiplier which could really change the rates and prices of my calculations, but I had a red rarity on a normal chest and it didn't have an ice cube in it so I'm assuming you can't (let me know if you have). If they bring this promo back again I'm sure they'll go down a bit.

05-Oct-2020 02:41:51

Quick find code: 17-18-79-66176978 Back to Top