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Christmas tree hats
Quick find code: 17-18-14-66167707
Dr Goldfire
said
:
Yet as long as I combine the above facts, my personal guess is that current rarity of Christmas tree hats could be somewhere within a range between RSH and BSH.
I agree with his sentiment that the rarity is in between RSH and BSH. Based on my research with CTH it seems to be being held down by a massive collector of them. My guess is someone has secured most of them while they were very low price and is able to hold the price below 100M due to the hats popularity not being on the same scale as other rares.
Think - If someone owns couple thousand of them. Puts them all for sale at 100M. People will purchase, hold for a little while, see no increase, and dump for cheaper. The person with the wall at 100M will buy everything below 100M and repeat. The only way it can be overcome is if enough people are buying that it overcomes the wall. The last time CTH was able to break the 100M barrier, I heard they rose to nearly 250M ea.
Another point to note - prior to all the influx of inflation from the possible dupe the CTH was at approx. 95-100M.. after all that GP in the game, it still at 100M. While everything from eggs to blues have jumped drastically.
my 2 pennies.
Yet as long as I combine the above facts, my personal guess is that current rarity of Christmas tree hats could be somewhere within a range between RSH and BSH.
I agree with his sentiment that the rarity is in between RSH and BSH. Based on my research with CTH it seems to be being held down by a massive collector of them. My guess is someone has secured most of them while they were very low price and is able to hold the price below 100M due to the hats popularity not being on the same scale as other rares.
Think - If someone owns couple thousand of them. Puts them all for sale at 100M. People will purchase, hold for a little while, see no increase, and dump for cheaper. The person with the wall at 100M will buy everything below 100M and repeat. The only way it can be overcome is if enough people are buying that it overcomes the wall. The last time CTH was able to break the 100M barrier, I heard they rose to nearly 250M ea.
Another point to note - prior to all the influx of inflation from the possible dupe the CTH was at approx. 95-100M.. after all that GP in the game, it still at 100M. While everything from eggs to blues have jumped drastically.
my 2 pennies.
27-Jun-2020 01:13:07 - Last edited on 27-Jun-2020 01:14:55 by I Am Jeff
I Am Jeff
said
:
Dr Goldfire said :
Yet as long as I combine the above facts, my personal guess is that current rarity of Christmas tree hats could be somewhere within a range between RSH and BSH.
I agree with his sentiment that the rarity is in between RSH and BSH. Based on my research with CTH it seems to be being held down by a massive collector of them. My guess is someone has secured most of them while they were very low price and is able to hold the price below 100M due to the hats popularity not being on the same scale as other rares.
Think - If someone owns couple thousand of them. Puts them all for sale at 100M. People will purchase, hold for a little while, see no increase, and dump for cheaper. The person with the wall at 100M will buy everything below 100M and repeat. The only way it can be overcome is if enough people are buying that it overcomes the wall. The last time CTH was able to break the 100M barrier, I heard they rose to nearly 250M ea.
Another point to note - prior to all the influx of inflation from the possible dupe the CTH was at approx. 95-100M.. after all that GP in the game, it still at 100M. While everything from eggs to blues have jumped drastically.
my 2 pennies.
Thats is because its not inflation that is affecting the prices of rares but people hype buying rares because they dont understand how insignificant amount of money was actually introduced to the game. Always look at bond price if you want to know if there has been large injection of wealth to the game because they are directly linked to osrs bonds and swap rates, none of them had any change during the duping, in fact bond was at 17m when the duping was happening.
Dr Goldfire said :
Yet as long as I combine the above facts, my personal guess is that current rarity of Christmas tree hats could be somewhere within a range between RSH and BSH.
I agree with his sentiment that the rarity is in between RSH and BSH. Based on my research with CTH it seems to be being held down by a massive collector of them. My guess is someone has secured most of them while they were very low price and is able to hold the price below 100M due to the hats popularity not being on the same scale as other rares.
Think - If someone owns couple thousand of them. Puts them all for sale at 100M. People will purchase, hold for a little while, see no increase, and dump for cheaper. The person with the wall at 100M will buy everything below 100M and repeat. The only way it can be overcome is if enough people are buying that it overcomes the wall. The last time CTH was able to break the 100M barrier, I heard they rose to nearly 250M ea.
Another point to note - prior to all the influx of inflation from the possible dupe the CTH was at approx. 95-100M.. after all that GP in the game, it still at 100M. While everything from eggs to blues have jumped drastically.
my 2 pennies.
Thats is because its not inflation that is affecting the prices of rares but people hype buying rares because they dont understand how insignificant amount of money was actually introduced to the game. Always look at bond price if you want to know if there has been large injection of wealth to the game because they are directly linked to osrs bonds and swap rates, none of them had any change during the duping, in fact bond was at 17m when the duping was happening.
27-Jun-2020 12:43:05
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