Basic economics is that Tax increases cost to the buyer and reduces profit for the seller. The cost is essentially split between both parties (in basic economics). Since the buyer has to pay more, they collectively demand less and since the seller makes less, they collectively produce less.
In a real economy tax money is spent by the government which can cause inflation. This collected tax isn't being spent, it's being removed.
Also there's a thing called the substitution affect. Just because prices on select items rise, does not mean there is overall inflation....E.g, If sail fish get expensive, I start using sharks instead so just because we see sailfish go up doesn't mean there is overall inflation.
Lastly, they set the tax to basically offset the changes due to death cost changes with a little cushion, so really any affect we see in the near term at least will be a behavioral/speculative response which will dispute over time as everyone adjusts to the new normal.
10-Jan-2023 03:20:45