I doubt the drop rate is 1/2000. It is probably far, far lower than that.
Each player has 4 chances to get a Black Partyhat in this event. If the chance is one out of 500 players will have win a Black Partyhat, it won't be rare at all.
I didn't see many players winning Black Partyhats from in game broadcast messages, plus the price of Black Partyhats is already very high in GE and has a long way to catch up to the actual trading price. It doesn't remotely looks like a 1/2000 odds for Black Partyhat.
18-Dec-2023 16:15:05